Regarding EVs, here is something interesting. I live in Queen Creek AZ, and LG was just about to start construction on a $1.3B battery production plant for "start-up EV manufacturers" - there are a couple in AZ. However, they have now put construction plans on hold due to "rising construction costs" and "reduced battery demand" - I will assume for the type of batteries they were planning on building there. FWIW https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...n-rising-costs
Do any of you invest in real estate? The way some of the YouTubers make it sound, you can constantly just keep buying and refi and buy more. When I crunch the numbers, they don't add up
I agree. Seems like the only way it works is if you can rent the property out for a good return but I think I can do better just investing in tax free municipal securities. I was a landlord once, never again. Worst experience. In fact I just sold a condo in Boston that I had bought for my daughter when she was getting her PhD there. Based on what I could rent it for it made more sense to sell it. I could only generate a return of around 4% before taxes. I'd rather have the capital and be able to invest it however I want. I have several friends that invest in real estate but I could never figure out why it was worth it to them. Maybe capital gains on the property was the answer but real estate is starting to soften now. Might not be the best time to buy.
I know a lot of successful people. None of them supplement their income with youtube adds by telling people how to do it. If someone really knew how to make money hand over fist 1) why would they tell the world 2) why would they be wasting their time to make a few hundred bucks by being an "influencer."
Luck is also a huge part, some of the "influencers" got into the real estate market as it started to boom again after 09, and they feel that their strategy will be forever feasible in any sort of market.
My home town Toronto real estate prices have dropped 20-30%+ since peak, and a lot of people who over-leveraged themselves with bunch of rental properties now are facing very fast rising variable interest rates (no 30 yr fixed in Canada) AND no home equity that they can take out of.
Similar to those "finance" gurus that give stock market advice just because they caught the biggest bull wave in recent memory
Any of you ever register a car in Montana? A lot of these cars on BAT went for under trade in. So I could make some extra cash if I register them in a state without sales tax
https://bringatrailer.com/listing/2016-dodge-viper-gts/
quite a strong showing for this one..
Every single used car in the US would also being going up. This Covid and inflation period is unprecedented.
they will fall like a brick when the next big depression hits here real soon
I noticed a few cars that have been listed all summer have already been relisted 20% below their initial asking price.. Im not sure how i feel about that..
People with money typically don't get hurt as badly during a depression as the little guy. With Vipers going for over $300,000 you need to have money for sure. But then again maybe prices for Vipers with higher mileage or less desirable colors or options may in fact nose dive. Lack of parts could also cause prices to drop. Let's say you have a great looking ACR with low mileage but it has a broken window regulator. How much would it be worth to someone if they discover that the window part is unavailable. Ok, you could try the rebuilding service in AZ but there are now many other discontinued parts that would render the car undriveable.
Average recession is about 17 months, 2-3 years would be considered a depression. If that's the case, I have bigger concerns than the value of my Viper
From the high of september 2007, the DOW JONES took almost 6 years to recover (winter 2013) at the same level.
Also, my opinion is the next crisis will hit harder (and somewhat differently) than 2008...
Bottomline, I wouldnt be surprised at all if a low milleage ACR-E priced at 300k in spring 2022 would be available at the very same price in 2028... and at 220k in 2024.
Bookmarks